Gabriel Mahia Systems · Power · Strategy

The Political Economy of Austerity

Austerity is not a neutral fiscal instrument. It allocates the costs of adjustment according to political rather than economic logic.

What Austerity Is and Is Not

Austerity — the reduction of public expenditure and/or increase in public revenue in response to fiscal imbalance — is typically presented as a technical economic necessity: the state has spent more than it can sustain, and adjustment is required. This presentation is partially accurate. Fiscal imbalances do eventually require adjustment, and the adjustment does involve reducing the gap between expenditure and revenue through some combination of spending reduction and revenue increase. What the technical presentation omits is that austerity is not a single adjustment — it is a set of choices about who bears the cost of the adjustment, and those choices are political rather than economic in their logic.

The fiscal imbalance that austerity is designed to address is a distributional fact: the state has made commitments it cannot fully fund. Austerity resolves this distributional fact by deciding which commitments are most readily reduced — which programmes are cut, which revenues are raised, which protected interests are maintained and which are exposed to the adjustment. These decisions are political. The groups whose interests are most effectively represented in the political process tend to be protected from the adjustment. The groups whose interests are least effectively represented tend to bear it.

The Distributional Pattern

The distributional pattern of austerity adjustments is remarkably consistent across different countries and different political systems. The programmes that are most readily cut are those serving populations with the least political representation and the least economic power — social transfers, public health infrastructure, social housing, community services. The programmes that are most resistant to cuts are those serving populations with the most political representation and the most economic power — tax expenditures that benefit higher-income households, infrastructure investments that benefit productive sectors, programmes whose beneficiaries are concentrated and organised enough to defend them.

Austerity does not distribute adjustment according to capacity to bear it. It distributes adjustment according to political capacity to resist it. The two are not the same — and the difference between them is the substance of the political economy that austerity's technical presentation is designed to conceal.

Discussion