Gabriel Mahia Systems · Power · Strategy

Social Security and Institutional Honesty

Social Security is the American government's most successful programme and the one about which the political system is least honest. The dishonesty has consequences.

The Programme's Success

Social Security is the federal government's most successful programme by the measure that matters most: the wellbeing of the population it serves. Before Social Security, poverty among elderly Americans was widespread and severe; after decades of the programme, elderly poverty rates are lower than those of any other age group. The programme works because it is universal — it provides benefits to essentially all working Americans rather than means-testing them in ways that reduce political support and administrative efficiency — because it is indexed to wage growth and inflation in ways that maintain benefit value over time, and because the trust fund structure provides the financial architecture that long-term benefit commitments require.

The dishonesty that surrounds Social Security — the persistent claim that it is in imminent crisis, the exaggeration of its long-term funding challenges, and the failure to acknowledge the straightforward solutions available for addressing those challenges — reflects the political utility of the crisis framing for the actors who want to restructure the programme rather than sustain it. The actual long-term funding challenge is real but manageable: the combination of modest benefit adjustments, revenue increases, and actuarial recalibrations that have sustained the programme through prior funding challenges is available for the current one. What is lacking is the political will to enact it — which the crisis framing that is more politically useful than honest assessment consistently prevents.

Social Security's institutional honesty problem is the political system's preference for crisis framing over the honest assessment that would enable the straightforward solutions. The programme that is described as in imminent crisis is more manageable than the crisis framing suggests, and the solutions available are more accessible than the political debate acknowledges. The dishonesty serves the interests of the actors who want to restructure the programme. It does not serve the interests of the workers and retirees who depend on it.

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